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Recently held2012At the symposium on the economic operation situation of the national petroleum and chemical industry，Li Yongwu, president of China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation, said，F(xiàn)irst half of the year，The economic growth of petrochemical industry continues to slow down，The downward pressure keeps increasing，But the industry economy is stable in a slow period，F(xiàn)undamentals have not changed fundamentally。from5Beginning of month，There have also been some positive changes in the economic operation of the industry。

    front5The profits of the moonstone industry decreased year on year14.4%

    According to the economic operation report of petrochemical industry in the first half of the year issued by China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation（Hereinafter referred to as“report”）display，Enterprises above designated size in petroleum and chemical industry26696home，1～6Total monthly output value5.89Trillion yuan，Year on year growth12.5%，However, the growth rate dropped compared with the same period last year21.9Percentage points；The total import and export amount is3320.69USD100mn，increase10.4%，The growth rate dropped compared with the same period last year22.3Percentage points；1～5month，Total profit of the whole industry3031.44RMB100mn，Year on year decrease14.4%。

    National Bureau of Statistics price monitoring shows，this year6month，The overall price level of petroleum and chemical industry appears2009year12The first decline since，Year on year decrease0.8%。among，Large decline in refining efficiency。Report Display，Since last year8Since，The refining industry has been in a loss state。this year1～5month，Accumulated loss exceeds166RMB100mn，And gradually expanding。The long-term loss of the refining industry will have a serious adverse impact on the development of the entire industry。Deterioration of industry benefits，It indicates that the endogenous power of economic growth is weakened。

    Contemporaneous，The overall price decline of basic chemical raw materials also continued to expand，6Year on year drop in ex factory prices in January8.8%，Decrease ratio5Monthly expansion2.7Percentage points。1～6month，Cumulative decrease of producer price of basic chemical raw materials3.1%，than1～5Monthly expansion1.2Percentage points。

    The overall trend in the second half of the year will be to stabilize and recover

    Li Yongwu analyzed and pointed out that，The growth rate of the industry economy continues to slow down，There are four main reasons：First, affected by the economic downturn in Europe and the United States，Shrinkage of external demand market，Petrochemical downstream industry textile、clothing、The export of toys has dropped significantly，As a result, the demand for chemical raw materials fell back。In the first half of the year, the year-on-year growth of the industry's export delivery value was only1.6%，The year-on-year drop is as high as25Percentage points。Second, as the domestic economy continues to decline，Slow demand for chemical products in the domestic market。Third, the production and operation costs of enterprises increased。Fourth, oil refining、Significant policy losses on imported natural gas。

    According to the report，As the country“Stable growth”Constantly increase the pre adjustment of macro policies、Fine adjustment strength，The effect of policy regulation will gradually appear after the second half of the year。The macroeconomic operation remained stable，It will create a more favorable environment for the transformation and upgrading of the industry。Overall，In the first half of the year, the economic situation of the petroleum and chemical industry was slow and stable。It is expected that the industry's economic growth in the second quarter will decline to the bottom，Stable in the third quarter，The recovery accelerated in the fourth quarter。The overall trend of industrial economic operation in the second half of the year will be to stabilize and recover。